FT · Europe: Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Como 4–1 Manchester UnitedMatch recap · Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Como win
35%
Result
Draw
24%
Manchester United win
41%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.7
Total 3.3
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.