FT · England: EFL Cup · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Manchester United 2–3 Brighton & Hove AlbionMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Manchester United win
49%
Draw
25%
Brighton & Hove Albion win
26%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.2
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.