What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Bawler's model rates this match: Atalanta are favoured (56% win probability vs 20% for Cagliari, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Cagliari?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Atalanta 1-1 Cagliari (11.6% probability). Expected total goals: 2.77.
How does Bawler predict Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Atalanta 56%, the draw 24% and Cagliari 20%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.80 and away expected goals 0.98.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.77. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).