FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Udinese 0–1 CagliariMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Udinese win
44%
Draw
27%
Cagliari win
29%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.