FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Juventus 2–0 AtalantaMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Juventus win
54%
Result
Draw
24%
Atalanta win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.0
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.