Real Madrid beat AS Roma 4–3. AS Roma had 14 shots (7 on target) to Real Madrid's 16 (8), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.8.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Real Madrid beat AS Roma 4–3. AS Roma had 14 shots (7 on target) to Real Madrid's 16 (8), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.8.
AS Roma 3–4 Real Madrid, played on 14 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Roma 38%, the draw 25% and Real Madrid 37%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.8, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 7–8, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–9, Saves 4–4, Fouls 15–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–1.
Yes — both AS Roma and Real Madrid scored, finishing 3–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.