How it finished
AS Roma beat Atalanta 2–1. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. AS Roma had 39 shots (10 on target) to Atalanta's 6 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won AS Roma vs Atalanta?
AS Roma beat Atalanta 2–1. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. AS Roma had 39 shots (10 on target) to Atalanta's 6 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.8.
What was the final score in AS Roma vs Atalanta?
AS Roma 2–1 Atalanta, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Roma 48%, the draw 26% and Atalanta 26%.
What were the stats in AS Roma vs Atalanta?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–0.8, Shots 39–6, Shots on target 10–2, Shots inside box 27–6, Big chances 5–1, Corners 14–1, Saves 1–9, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 4–4, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in AS Roma vs Atalanta?
Yes — both AS Roma and Atalanta scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AS Roma vs Atalanta right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Roma or draw 74%, it finished AS Roma won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.