AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction — Serie A · Sat 5 Sept · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sat 5 Sept · 19:45 UK
AS Roma 47Draw 27Atalanta 26
The call
47%
AS Roma to win
2.6
Goals expected
13d 18hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

AS Roma or draw74%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
BTTS52%
AS Roma win to nil27%
Atalanta or draw53%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D W W W W W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
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Common questions

Who will win AS Roma vs Atalanta?

Bawler's model rates this match: AS Roma are favoured (47% win probability vs 26% for Atalanta, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Atalanta?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is AS Roma 1-1 Atalanta (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.63.

How does Bawler predict AS Roma vs Atalanta?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives AS Roma 47%, the draw 27% and Atalanta 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Atalanta?

BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.54 and away expected goals 1.09.

Over or under 2.5 goals in AS Roma vs Atalanta?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.63. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →AS Roma form →Atalanta form →