Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad prediction — Saudi Pro League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al-Faisaly 11Draw 17Al Ittihad 71
The call
71%
Al Ittihad to win
3.4
Goals expected
14d 04hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Al Ittihad to score92%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Al-Faisaly to score60%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-1.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AFA 1 · D 1 · AIT 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Feb 2024Al-Faisaly 0–4 Al Ittihad
Jan 2022Al Ittihad 1–0 Al-Faisaly
Aug 2021Al-Faisaly 1–2 Al Ittihad
Feb 2021Al Ittihad 1–3 Al-Faisaly
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Common questions

Who will win Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Ittihad are favoured (71% win probability vs 11% for Al-Faisaly, 17% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al-Faisaly 0-2 Al Ittihad (10.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.43.

How does Bawler predict Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al-Faisaly 11%, the draw 17% and Al Ittihad 71%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 0.93 and away expected goals 2.50.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.43. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Al-Faisaly form →Al Ittihad form →