How it finished
Al Ittihad beat Al Nassr 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Nassr at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Al Ittihad 19%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Al Ittihad had 15 shots (3 on target) to Al Nassr's 16 (8), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr?
Al Ittihad beat Al Nassr 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Nassr at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Al Ittihad 19%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Al Ittihad had 15 shots (3 on target) to Al Nassr's 16 (8), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.8.
What was the final score in Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr?
Al Ittihad 2–1 Al Nassr, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Ittihad 19%, the draw 21% and Al Nassr 60%.
What were the stats in Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.8, Shots 15–16, Shots on target 3–8, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 3–5, Corners 3–14, Saves 7–1, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–4.
Did both teams score in Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr?
Yes — both Al Ittihad and Al Nassr scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Nassr to win 60%, it finished Al Ittihad won (19% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.