Al Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly prediction — Saudi Pro League · Tue 8 Sept · 16:30 UK

Saudi Pro League · Tue 8 Sept · 16:30 UK
Al Ettifaq 74Draw 16Al-Faisaly 10
The call
74%
Al Ettifaq to win
3.5
Goals expected
13d 02hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Al Ettifaq to score93%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W L D W L W
Expected goals gap (xG)+1.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AET 4 · D 1 · AFA 0
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

May 2022Al-Faisaly 1–1 Al-Ettifaq
Nov 2021Al-Ettifaq 1–0 Al-Faisaly
Mar 2021Al-Ettifaq 1–0 Al-Faisaly
Dec 2020Al-Faisaly 0–3 Al-Ettifaq
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win Al Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Ettifaq are favoured (74% win probability vs 10% for Al-Faisaly, 16% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Ettifaq 2-0 Al-Faisaly (10.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.55.

How does Bawler predict Al Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Ettifaq 74%, the draw 16% and Al-Faisaly 10%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly?

BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.65 and away expected goals 0.89.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.55. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Ettifaq form →Al-Faisaly form →