Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 16:50 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 16:50 UK
Al-Faisaly 8Draw 15Al Hazem 77
The call
77%
Al Hazem to win
3.4
Goals expected
10d 16hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Al Hazem to score93%
Over 1.5 goals85%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-1.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AFA 2 · D 2 · AHA 1
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Mar 2022Al-Faisaly 1–0 Al Hazem
Oct 2021Al Hazem 0–0 Al-Faisaly
Mar 2020Al Hazem 2–2 Al-Faisaly
Oct 2019Al-Faisaly 1–0 Al Hazem
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Common questions

Who will win Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Hazem are favoured (77% win probability vs 8% for Al-Faisaly, 15% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al-Faisaly 0-2 Al Hazem (11.6% probability). Expected total goals: 3.38.

How does Bawler predict Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al-Faisaly 8%, the draw 15% and Al Hazem 77%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

BTTS: No (51% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 0.76 and away expected goals 2.62.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.38. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
Al-Faisaly
Before this
26 AugHAl Fateh17:00
All fixtures & results →Al-Faisaly form →Al Hazem form →