Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 16:50 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 5 Sept · 16:50 UK
Al-Faisaly 45Draw 24Al Hazem 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Al-Faisaly or draw
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
83%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
66%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

Al-Faisaly and Al Hazem drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al-Faisaly at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Al-Faisaly had 6 shots (2 on target) to Al Hazem's 13 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.1.

Al-FaisalyFull-time statsAl Hazem
48%Possession52%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.1
6Shots13
2Shots on target3
4Shots inside box6
2Big chances2
3Corners7
3Saves2
10Fouls21
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards5
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl-Faisaly or draw 69%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.40
Both teams to score66%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 85%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al-FaisalyAl Hazem
1.9
Goals+0.3
1.5
13.8
Shots+1.2
15.0
4.9
On target+0.6
4.3
2.0
Corners+2.3
4.3
Al-FaisalyAl Hazem
0.6
Goals
0.6
6.4
Shots+0.5
6.9
2.3
On target+0.3
2.1
0.9
Corners+1.1
2.0
Al-FaisalyAl Hazem
1.3
Goals+0.3
1.0
7.4
Shots+0.6
8.1
2.6
On target+0.3
2.2
1.1
Corners+1.2
2.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals85%
Al-Faisaly to score85%
Al Hazem to score78%
Over 2.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Al-Faisaly
61%
to score before half-time
Al Hazem
57%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%

Al-FaisalyAl Hazem
6.41st-half shots6.9
2.31st-half shots on target2.1
0.91st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

57%Chance of 6+ shots63%
33%Chance of 8+ shots39%
87%Chance of 1+ shots on target84%
40%Chance of 3+ shots on target34%
55%Chance of 1+ corners82%
<10%Chance of 3+ corners33%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al-Faisaly6.47.4
Shots · Al Hazem6.98.1
Shots on target · Al-Faisaly2.32.6
Shots on target · Al Hazem2.12.2
Corners · Al-Faisaly0.91.1
Corners · Al Hazem2.02.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al-Faisaly 2 · Draws 2 · Al Hazem 1
Al Hazem in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Mar 2022Al-Faisaly 1–0 Al Hazem
Oct 2021Al Hazem 0–0 Al-Faisaly
Mar 2020Al Hazem 2–2 Al-Faisaly
Oct 2019Al-Faisaly 1–0 Al Hazem
Feb 2019Al-Faisaly 1–2 Al Hazem
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

Al-Faisaly and Al Hazem drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al-Faisaly at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Al-Faisaly had 6 shots (2 on target) to Al Hazem's 13 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

Al-Faisaly 0–0 Al Hazem, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al-Faisaly 45%, the draw 24% and Al Hazem 31%.

What were the stats in Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.1, Shots 6–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 2–2, Corners 3–7, Saves 3–2, Fouls 10–21, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–5.

Did both teams score in Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem?

No. It finished 0–0, so Al-Faisaly failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al-Faisaly vs Al Hazem right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al-Faisaly or draw 69%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al-Faisaly form →Al Hazem form →