Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha prediction — Saudi Pro League · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Tue 8 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Ittihad 53Draw 25Al Fayha 22
The call
78%
Al Ittihad or draw
2.8
Goals expected
13d 18hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Al Ittihad to score83%
Over 1.5 goals77%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D W W D W W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AIT 3 · D 2 · AFA 0
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Ittihad 2–1 Al-Fayha
Oct 2025Al-Fayha 1–1 Al Ittihad
May 2025Al Ittihad 3–0 Al-Fayha
Jan 2025Al-Fayha 1–1 Al Ittihad
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Common questions

Who will win Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Ittihad are favoured (53% win probability vs 22% for Al Fayha, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Ittihad 1-1 Al Fayha (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.81.

How does Bawler predict Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Ittihad 53%, the draw 25% and Al Fayha 22%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha?

BTTS: Yes (54% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.76 and away expected goals 1.06.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.81. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Ittihad form →Al Fayha form →