Al Fateh and Al Ittihad drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Fateh at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.3 goals; nobody scored. Al Fateh had 11 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 24 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Fateh and Al Ittihad drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Fateh at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.3 goals; nobody scored. Al Fateh had 11 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 24 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 2.1.
Al Fateh 0–0 Al Ittihad, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fateh 38%, the draw 25% and Al Ittihad 38%.
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–2.1, Shots 11–24, Shots on target 7–8, Shots inside box 9–21, Big chances 2–4, Corners 1–10, Saves 8–7, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 3–4.
No. It finished 0–0, so Al Fateh failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Fateh or draw 62%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Missed.