Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 19:00 UK
Al Fateh 38Draw 25Al Ittihad 38
The call
62%
Al Fateh or draw
3.3
Goals expected
3d 18hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals84%
Al Fateh to score80%
Both teams to score65%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W D L L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AFA 1 · D 1 · AIT 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Jan 2026Al Fateh FC 2–2 Al Ittihad
Sept 2025Al Ittihad 4–2 Al Fateh FC
Apr 2025Al Fateh FC 2–0 Al Ittihad
Nov 2024Al Ittihad 2–0 Al Fateh FC
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Common questions

Who will win Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Fateh are favoured (38% win probability vs 38% for Al Ittihad, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Fateh 1-1 Al Ittihad (10.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.26.

How does Bawler predict Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Fateh 38%, the draw 25% and Al Ittihad 38%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad?

BTTS: Yes (65% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.63 and away expected goals 1.63.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.26. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Al Fateh form →Al Ittihad form →