Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelWest Ham United on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
West Ham United v Preston North End prediction
Our model makes West Ham United clear favourites for this Championship game, with a 77% chance of winning. Preston North End are given 8%, and the draw 14%. If you want one score, our predicted score is West Ham United 2–0 Preston North End, at 10%. West Ham United are expected to score 2.8 goals and Preston North End 0.9, 3.7 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (55%) and three or more goals is 72%.
We expect West Ham United to have 18.0 shots (5.0 on target) and Preston North End 11.1 (3.9 on target), and corners at 7.3 to 3.7. That points to West Ham United doing more of the attacking. They have met once on our records, and it ended Preston North End 2–2 West Ham United, in Jul 2018.
West Ham United come in with two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last six. Preston North End have one win, one draw and four defeats over the same run. For Bawler's pick we have gone with West Ham United or Draw, West Ham United Over 13.5 Shots, West Ham United Over 2.5 Shots on Target and West Ham United Over 4.5 Corners. The chance all four land is 54% on our numbers, so the fair price is 5/6, or 1.87.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
West Ham United · last 6
Preston North End · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
West Ham United to win is 77% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win West Ham United vs Preston North End?
Bawler's model rates this match: West Ham United are favoured (77% win probability vs 8% for Preston North End, 14% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for West Ham United vs Preston North End?
Bawler's predicted score is West Ham United 2-0 Preston North End: the most likely score if West Ham United win, which is the likeliest result (77%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.7%. Expected total goals: 3.7.
How does Bawler predict West Ham United vs Preston North End?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives West Ham United 77%, the draw 14% and Preston North End 8%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in West Ham United vs Preston North End?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 55% chance. That is based on West Ham United expecting 2.85 goals and Preston North End 0.88.
Over or under 2.5 goals in West Ham United vs Preston North End?
Bawler's model expects 3.7 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 72%.
When are the West Ham United v Preston North End line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for West Ham United v Preston North End?
West Ham United or Draw (92%), West Ham United Over 13.5 Shots (80%), West Ham United Over 2.5 Shots on Target (84%), West Ham United Over 4.5 Corners (78%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 54% chance, a fair price of 5/6 (1.87). 18+, please gamble responsibly.