Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelLevante on top, and Iván Romero getting plenty of shots away.
Levante v Elche prediction
Our model makes Levante favourites for this LaLiga game, giving them a 49% chance of winning. Elche are 26% and the draw is 25%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Levante 2–1 Elche, the most likely Levante win (9%). Levante are expected to score 1.8 goals and Elche 1.2, 3.0 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (59%) and three or more goals is 58%.
We expect Levante to have 16.8 shots (4.8 on target) and Elche 12.5 (4.2 on target), and corners at 5.0 to 4.1. That points to Levante doing more of the attacking. Of their last five meetings on our records, Levante have won three, Elche one, and one was drawn. The last meeting ended Levante 3–2 Elche, in Jan 2026.
On form, Levante have one win, two draws and three defeats from their last six games, and Elche have two wins, two draws and two defeats. Federico Redondo of Elche is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Levante or Draw, Levante Over 12.5 Shots and Iván Romero 2+ Shots. The chance all three land is 45% on our numbers, so the fair price is 6/5, or 2.21.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Levante · last 6
Elche · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Levante or draw is 74% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
LaLiga table →Common questions
Who will win Levante vs Elche?
Bawler's model rates this match: Levante are favoured (49% win probability vs 26% for Elche, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Levante vs Elche?
Bawler's predicted score is Levante 2-1 Elche: the most likely score if Levante win, which is the likeliest result (49%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.4%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Levante vs Elche?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Levante 49%, the draw 25% and Elche 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Levante vs Elche?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 59% chance. That is based on Levante expecting 1.76 goals and Elche 1.25.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Levante vs Elche?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 58%.
When are the Levante v Elche line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Levante v Elche?
Levante or Draw (74%), Levante Over 12.5 Shots (79%), Iván Romero 2+ Shots (71%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 45% chance, a fair price of 6/5 (2.21). 18+, please gamble responsibly.