Cagliari vs Juventus prediction — Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 19:45 UK
20Cagliari win25Draw55Juventus win
Full time
1–1

How it finished

Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1. Cagliari had 4 shots (2 on target) to Juventus' 22 (10), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.

CagliariFull-time statsJuventus
28%Possession72%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.9
4Shots22
2Shots on target10
2Shots inside box8
1Big chances2
1Corners9
9Saves1
8Fouls8
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Juventus win (12%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
0.9v1.7
2.7 in total
Both teams score
51%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

CagliariCagliariJuventusJuventus
0.9Goals1.7
7.1Shots18.5
2.4On target7.9
2.4Corners10.7
CagliariCagliariJuventusJuventus
0.4Goals0.6
3.1Shots8.5
1.1On target3.3
1.1Corners5.0
CagliariCagliariJuventusJuventus
0.5Goals1.1
4.0Shots10.1
1.3On target4.6
1.3Corners5.7

What we said the chances were

Juventus to score83%
2 or more goals75%
3 goals or fewer71%
Goal before half-time65%
Cagliari to score61%

First half — what we expected

Cagliari
34%
to score before half-time
Juventus
47%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

CagliariCagliariJuventusJuventus
<10%7+ shots68%
<10%9+ shots46%
29%2+ shots on target80%
<10%4+ shots on target41%
<10%4+ corners69%
<10%6+ corners38%

League position

Juventus in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jan 2026Cagliari 1–0 Juventus
Nov 2025Juventus 2–1 Cagliari
Feb 2025Cagliari 0–1 Juventus
Dec 2024Juventus 4–0 Cagliari
Oct 2024Juventus 1–1 Cagliari
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Cagliari form →Juventus form →

Common questions

Who won Cagliari vs Juventus?

Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1. Cagliari had 4 shots (2 on target) to Juventus' 22 (10), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Cagliari vs Juventus?

Cagliari 1–1 Juventus, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cagliari 20%, the draw 25% and Juventus 55%.

What were the stats in Cagliari vs Juventus?

Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.9, Shots 4–22, Shots on target 2–10, Shots inside box 2–8, Big chances 1–2, Corners 1–9, Saves 9–1, Fouls 8–8, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Cagliari vs Juventus?

Yes — both Cagliari and Juventus scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.