Atlético Madrid beat Alavés 2–1. Alavés had 8 shots (3 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 22 (7), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Atlético Madrid beat Alavés 2–1. Alavés had 8 shots (3 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 22 (7), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.2.
Alavés 1–2 Atlético Madrid, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alavés 36%, the draw 27% and Atlético Madrid 38%.
Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.2, Shots 8–22, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 5–11, Big chances 1–2, Corners 0–10, Saves 5–2, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–3, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Alavés and Atlético Madrid scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.