Alavés vs Atlético Madrid prediction — LaLiga · Sat 10 Oct · 15:15 UK

LaLiga · Sat 10 Oct · 15:15 UK
36Alavés win27Draw38Atlético Madrid win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

Atlético Madrid beat Alavés 2–1. Alavés had 8 shots (3 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 22 (7), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.2.

AlavésFull-time statsAtlético…
32%Possession68%
1.1Expected goals (xG)2.2
8Shots22
3Shots on target7
5Shots inside box11
1Big chances2
0Corners10
5Saves2
11Fouls14
1Offsides2
0Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Atlético Madrid win (8%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.4v1.4
2.8 in total
Both teams score
57%
Leans yes
3+ goals
53%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

AlavésAlavésAtlético MadridAtlético Madrid
1.4Goals1.4
11.4Shots10.8
3.6On target6.1
3.6Corners4.7
AlavésAlavésAtlético MadridAtlético Madrid
0.7Goals0.8
5.2Shots5.3
1.6On target2.8
1.7Corners2.2
AlavésAlavésAtlético MadridAtlético Madrid
0.7Goals0.6
6.2Shots5.6
2.0On target3.3
1.9Corners2.5

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals77%
Goal before half-time77%
Atlético Madrid to score76%
Alavés to score75%
3 goals or fewer69%

First half — what we expected

Alavés
48%
to score before half-time
Atlético Madrid
55%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

AlavésAlavésAtlético MadridAtlético Madrid
70%4+ shots70%
41%6+ shots42%
44%2+ shots on target73%
10%4+ shots on target31%
76%1+ corners84%
25%3+ corners36%

League position

Atlético Madrid in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Alavés form →Atlético Madrid form →

Common questions

Who won Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid beat Alavés 2–1. Alavés had 8 shots (3 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 22 (7), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.2.

What was the final score in Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?

Alavés 1–2 Atlético Madrid, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alavés 36%, the draw 27% and Atlético Madrid 38%.

What were the stats in Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?

Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.2, Shots 8–22, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 5–11, Big chances 1–2, Corners 0–10, Saves 5–2, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–3, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?

Yes — both Alavés and Atlético Madrid scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.