Villarreal vs Deportivo prediction — LaLiga · Sat 5 Sept · 20:00 UK

LaLiga · Sat 5 Sept · 20:00 UK
Villarreal 62Draw 22Deportivo 16
The call
62%
Villarreal to win
2.9
Goals expected
13d 18hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Villarreal or draw84%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
BTTS51%
Villarreal win to nil35%
Deportivo or draw38%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Correct score 1–011%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W W W L D
Expected goals gap (xG)+1.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5VIL 1 · D 3 · DEP 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2018Deportivo A Coruña 2–4 Villarreal
Jan 2018Villarreal 1–1 Deportivo A Coruña
May 2017Villarreal 0–0 Deportivo A Coruña
Jan 2017Deportivo A Coruña 0–0 Villarreal
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Common questions

Who will win Villarreal vs Deportivo?

Bawler's model rates this match: Villarreal are favoured (62% win probability vs 16% for Deportivo, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Deportivo?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Villarreal 1-0 Deportivo (11.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.88.

How does Bawler predict Villarreal vs Deportivo?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Villarreal 62%, the draw 22% and Deportivo 16%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Deportivo?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.98 and away expected goals 0.90.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Villarreal vs Deportivo?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.88. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Villarreal form →Deportivo form →