TSG Hoffenheim vs Besiktas prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK
50TSG Hoffenheim win24Draw26Besiktas win
Full time
2–3

How it finished

Besiktas beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. TSG Hoffenheim had 13 shots (3 on target) to Besiktas' 19 (5), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 3.4.

TSG…Full-time statsBesiktas
53%Possession47%
1.1Expected goals (xG)3.4
13Shots19
3Shots on target5
9Shots inside box16
2Big chances5
7Corners5
2Saves1
18Fouls8
0Offsides0
4Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if TSG Hoffenheim win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.9v1.3
3.1 in total
Both teams score
61%
Yes
3+ goals
61%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

TSG HoffenheimTSG HoffenheimBesiktasBesiktas
1.9Goals1.3
10.1Shots16.7
3.2On target7.6
4.7Corners8.2
TSG HoffenheimTSG HoffenheimBesiktasBesiktas
1.1Goals0.8
5.0Shots7.5
1.6On target3.6
2.2Corners3.8
TSG HoffenheimTSG HoffenheimBesiktasBesiktas
0.8Goals0.5
5.0Shots9.2
1.7On target4.0
2.5Corners4.3

What we said the chances were

TSG Hoffenheim to score84%
Goal before half-time84%
2 or more goals82%
Besiktas to score72%
3 goals or fewer62%

First half — what we expected

TSG Hoffenheim
67%
to score before half-time
Besiktas
53%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

TSG HoffenheimTSG HoffenheimBesiktasBesiktas
39%6+ shots69%
18%8+ shots46%
22%3+ shots on target66%
<10%5+ shots on target30%
36%3+ corners69%
10%5+ corners34%

League position

Besiktas in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jul 2016Hoffenheim 0–0 Beşiktaş
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →TSG Hoffenheim form →Besiktas form →

Common questions

Who won TSG Hoffenheim vs Besiktas?

Besiktas beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. TSG Hoffenheim had 13 shots (3 on target) to Besiktas' 19 (5), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 3.4.

What was the final score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Besiktas?

TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Besiktas, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with TSG Hoffenheim 50%, the draw 24% and Besiktas 26%.

What were the stats in TSG Hoffenheim vs Besiktas?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–3.4, Shots 13–19, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 9–16, Big chances 2–5, Corners 7–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 18–8, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Besiktas?

Yes — both TSG Hoffenheim and Besiktas scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.