FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Sunday, 20 September 2026
SC Paderborn 07 3–1 TSG HoffenheimMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
SC Paderborn 07 win
36%
Result
Draw
25%
TSG Hoffenheim win
39%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.