FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026
OFI Crete 2–0 TSG HoffenheimMatch recap · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
OFI Crete win
36%
Result
Draw
27%
TSG Hoffenheim win
37%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.