FT · France: Ligue 1 · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Lorient 2–2 ToulouseMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lorient win
42%
Draw
27%
Result
Toulouse win
30%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.