FT · France: Ligue 1 · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre ACMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Toulouse win
54%
Result
Draw
25%
Le Havre AC win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.0
Total 2.7
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 2.5
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.