Tottenham Hotspur and Everton drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Tottenham Hotspur at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Tottenham Hotspur had 14 shots (2 on target) to Everton's 13 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Tottenham Hotspur and Everton drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Tottenham Hotspur at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Tottenham Hotspur had 14 shots (2 on target) to Everton's 13 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.2.
Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 Everton, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Tottenham Hotspur 40%, the draw 27% and Everton 33%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.2, Shots 14–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–6, Saves 3–2, Fouls 14–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so Tottenham Hotspur failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Tottenham Hotspur or draw 67%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Missed.