FT · England: EFL Cup · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Everton 1–0 Wolverhampton WanderersMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Everton win
54%
Result
Draw
25%
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.0
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.