FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Everton 1–0 Ipswich TownMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Everton win
54%
Result
Draw
24%
Ipswich Town win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.1
Total 2.9
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.