FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Wednesday, 26 August 2026
Preston North End 0–4 EvertonMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 26 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Everton to win at 63%. Bawler had Preston North End at 15%, the draw at 21% and Everton at 63%. The match finished 0–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
Preston North End win
15%
Draw
21%
Everton win
63%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.9 – 2.1
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 4
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 3.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Everton to win
Pre-match: 63%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 36%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.