What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Bawler's model rates this match: Nashville SC are favoured (44% win probability vs 28% for Toronto FC, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Toronto FC 1-1 Nashville SC (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.54.
How does Bawler predict Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Toronto FC 28%, the draw 28% and Nashville SC 44%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.10 and away expected goals 1.43.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.54. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).