What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Swansea City vs Burnley?
Bawler's model rates this match: Burnley are favoured (39% win probability vs 33% for Swansea City, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Swansea City vs Burnley?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Swansea City 1-1 Burnley (13.4% probability). Expected total goals: 2.57.
How does Bawler predict Swansea City vs Burnley?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Swansea City 33%, the draw 28% and Burnley 39%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Swansea City vs Burnley?
BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.22 and away expected goals 1.35.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Swansea City vs Burnley?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.57. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).