FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Lincoln City 1–2 Swansea CityMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lincoln City win
45%
Draw
28%
Swansea City win
27%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.0
Total 2.4
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.4.