Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction — Serie A · Sat 12 Sept · 19:00 UK

Serie A · Sat 12 Sept · 19:00 UK
Sassuolo 23Draw 25Juventus 52
The call
77%
Juventus or draw
2.9
Goals expected
14d 04hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Juventus to score83%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Sassuolo to score66%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W L L L W L
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SAS 2 · D 1 · JUV 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Mar 2026Juventus 1–1 Sassuolo
Jan 2026Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus
Jan 2024Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo
Sept 2023Sassuolo 4–2 Juventus
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Common questions

Who will win Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Bawler's model rates this match: Juventus are favoured (52% win probability vs 23% for Sassuolo, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Juventus?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Sassuolo 1-1 Juventus (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.85.

How does Bawler predict Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Sassuolo 23%, the draw 25% and Juventus 52%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.09 and away expected goals 1.76.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.85. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Sassuolo form →Juventus form →