Sassuolo vs Torino prediction — Serie A · Sat 29 Aug · 17:30 UK

Serie A · Sat 29 Aug · 17:30 UK
Sassuolo 42Draw 27Torino 32
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Sassuolo beat Torino 2–1. Bawler's model had Sassuolo in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Sassuolo had 19 shots (7 on target) to Torino's 10 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.2, so Torino created the better chances and still lost the game.

SassuoloFull-time statsTorino
46%Possession54%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
19Shots10
7Shots on target4
11Shots inside box8
1Big chances3
4Corners3
3Saves5
12Fouls9
5Offsides0
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSassuolo 42%Sassuolo (42% called)
Total goals2.83
Both teams to score57%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Sassuolo to score78%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Torino to score73%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

SassuoloBefore half-timeTorino
57%Chance to score32%
6.4Expected shots6.0
2.6Expected shots on target2.0
1.9Expected corners2.4
74%Chance of 5+ shots69%
46%Chance of 7+ shots39%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target60%
25%Chance of 4+ shots on target14%
83%Chance of 1+ corners89%
31%Chance of 3+ corners43%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SAS 0 · D 2 · TOR 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026Torino 2–1 Sassuolo
Dec 2025Sassuolo 0–1 Torino
Feb 2024Sassuolo 1–1 Torino
Nov 2023Torino 2–1 Sassuolo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sassuolo vs Torino?

Sassuolo beat Torino 2–1. Bawler's model had Sassuolo in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Sassuolo had 19 shots (7 on target) to Torino's 10 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.2, so Torino created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Sassuolo vs Torino?

Sassuolo 2–1 Torino, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sassuolo 42%, the draw 27% and Torino 32%.

What were the stats in Sassuolo vs Torino?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 4–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Sassuolo vs Torino?

Yes — both Sassuolo and Torino scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sassuolo vs Torino right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sassuolo 42%, it finished Sassuolo (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Sassuolo form →Torino form →