Minnesota United FC beat San Jose Earthquakes 5–1. Bawler's model favoured San Jose Earthquakes at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Minnesota United FC 28%. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 6. San Jose Earthquakes had 11 shots (6 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 11 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Minnesota United FC beat San Jose Earthquakes 5–1. Bawler's model favoured San Jose Earthquakes at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Minnesota United FC 28%. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 6. San Jose Earthquakes had 11 shots (6 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 11 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.0.
San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Jose Earthquakes 49%, the draw 23% and Minnesota United FC 28%.
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.0, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 2–5, Corners 3–3, Saves 1–5, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United FC scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said San Jose Earthquakes 49%, it finished Minnesota United FC (28% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 72%, it finished Missed.