FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Real Salt Lake 1–1 Minnesota United FCMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 16 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Real Salt Lake at 44%, draw at 30%, Minnesota United FC at 26%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-1. The model's headline call was Real Salt Lake to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Lake win
44%
Draw
30%
Actual ✓
FC win
26%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 85%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 27%
✗ Lost