How it finished
Philadelphia Union beat Red Bull New York 3–1. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Red Bull New York had 11 shots (4 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 19 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 77%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union?
Philadelphia Union beat Red Bull New York 3–1. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Red Bull New York had 11 shots (4 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 19 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.9.
What was the final score in Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union?
Red Bull New York 1–3 Philadelphia Union, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Red Bull New York 33%, the draw 23% and Philadelphia Union 43%.
What were the stats in Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.9, Shots 11–19, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 11–14, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–7, Saves 1–3, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union?
Yes — both Red Bull New York and Philadelphia Union scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Red Bull New York vs Philadelphia Union right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Philadelphia Union 43%, it finished Philadelphia Union (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 86%, it finished Landed.