What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
Bawler's model rates this match: Real Salt Lake are favoured (42% win probability vs 32% for New York City FC, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Real Salt Lake 1-1 New York City FC (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.01.
How does Bawler predict Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Real Salt Lake 42%, the draw 26% and New York City FC 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
BTTS: Yes (60% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.61 and away expected goals 1.39.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.01. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).