How it finished
New York City FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New York City FC 32%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Real Salt Lake had 15 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 6 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.6, so Real Salt Lake created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
New York City FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New York City FC 32%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Real Salt Lake had 15 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 6 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.6, so Real Salt Lake created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
Real Salt Lake 0–2 New York City FC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 42%, the draw 26% and New York City FC 32%.
What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.6, Shots 15–6, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 11–2, Big chances 0–0, Corners 10–1, Saves 1–6, Fouls 18–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?
No. It finished 0–2, so Real Salt Lake failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Salt Lake or draw 68%, it finished New York City FC won (32% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.