How it finished
Real Madrid beat Villarreal 1–0. Real Madrid had 11 shots (4 on target) to Villarreal's 15 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.6.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Around this fixture
LaLiga table →Common questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Real Madrid beat Villarreal 1–0. Real Madrid had 11 shots (4 on target) to Villarreal's 15 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Madrid 62%, the draw 20% and Villarreal 18%.
What were the stats in Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.6, Shots 11–15, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 9–3, Saves 4–3, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 6–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
No. It finished 1–0, so Villarreal failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.