How it finished
Austin FC beat Portland Timbers 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Portland Timbers at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Austin FC 22%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Portland Timbers had 13 shots (5 on target) to Austin FC's 10 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.2, so Portland Timbers created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 77%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?
Austin FC beat Portland Timbers 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Portland Timbers at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Austin FC 22%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Portland Timbers had 13 shots (5 on target) to Austin FC's 10 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.2, so Portland Timbers created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?
Portland Timbers 1–2 Austin FC, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portland Timbers 55%, the draw 23% and Austin FC 22%.
What were the stats in Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.2, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 9–14, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?
Yes — both Portland Timbers and Austin FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Portland Timbers vs Austin FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Portland Timbers 55%, it finished Austin FC (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed.