What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Bawler's model rates this match: Philadelphia Union are favoured (56% win probability vs 23% for FC Cincinnati, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Philadelphia Union 2-1 FC Cincinnati (9.3% probability). Expected total goals: 3.52.
How does Bawler predict Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Philadelphia Union 56%, the draw 22% and FC Cincinnati 23%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
BTTS: Yes (66% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.17 and away expected goals 1.35.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.52. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).