How it finished
Philadelphia Union beat FC Cincinnati 5–0. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Philadelphia Union had 20 shots (6 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 1 (0), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.6 to 0.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Philadelphia Union beat FC Cincinnati 5–0. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 5. Philadelphia Union had 20 shots (6 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 1 (0), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.6 to 0.0.
What was the final score in Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC Cincinnati, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 56%, the draw 21% and FC Cincinnati 22%.
What were the stats in Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 3.6–0.0, Shots 20–1, Shots on target 6–0, Shots inside box 17–1, Big chances 5–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–1, Fouls 16–6, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 0–2, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
No. It finished 5–0, so FC Cincinnati failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Philadelphia Union or draw 78%, it finished Philadelphia Union won (56% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Landed.