Netherlands: EredivisieSaturday 29 Aug, 19:00 UTC

PEC Zwolle vNEC Nijmegen

Most likely scoreline
1–1
11% of the time · 2.91 goals expected
PEC Zwolle 40%Draw 30%NEC Nijmegen 30%
How we get there
PEC ZwollestepNEC Nijmegen
1.57Base xG · rolling 26-match1.34
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.57Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.34

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Zwolle average 3.9 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Nijmegen average 5.1 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
7
5
2
1
1
9
11
8
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
3
1
4
1
2
1
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

PEC Zwolle fixtures & form →NEC Nijmegen fixtures & form →

Zwolle vs Nijmegen — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Zwolle and Nijmegen — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Zwolle 40% · draw 30% · Nijmegen 30%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Zwolle predictions & form →Nijmegen predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.