FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Heerenveen 0–2 PEC ZwolleMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Heerenveen
0–2
PEC Zwolle win
PEC Zwolle

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was Heerenveen or draw at 81%. Bawler had Heerenveen at 59%, the draw at 22% and PEC Zwolle at 19%. The match finished 0–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Heerenveen win
59%
Draw
22%
PEC Zwolle win
19%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.0 – 1.1
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.4
From the match itself

The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 82%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 22%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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