FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Juventus 5–0 NEC NijmegenMatch recap · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Juventus win
70%
Result
Draw
18%
NEC Nijmegen win
12%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.5 – 1.0
Total 3.5
Actual
5 – 0
Total 5 (+1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
4.1 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.