Pre-match, Bawler had Bodo/Glimt at 57%, draw at 21%, NEC Nijmegen at 22%. The match ended 3-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Bodo/Glimt.
Match underperformed xG by 0.6 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.