FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Sunday, 09 August 2026
PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax AmsterdamMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 09 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had PEC Zwolle at 45%, draw at 30%, Ajax Amsterdam at 25%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-2. The model's headline call was PEC Zwolle to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Zwolle win
45%
Draw
30%
Amsterdam win
25%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 77%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
BTTS Yes
Pre-match: 53%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 24%
✗ Lost