Before kickoff our call was NEC Nijmegen or draw at 76%. Bawler had PEC Zwolle at 24%, the draw at 23% and NEC Nijmegen at 53%. The match finished 1–3.
The match produced 0.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.