Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK
Orlando City SC 42Draw 23San Diego FC 35
Our call before kickoff
65%
Orlando City SC or draw
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
80%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
69%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
69%

How it finished

Orlando City SC beat San Diego FC 1–0. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Orlando City SC had 15 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 7 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.5.

Orlando CityFull-time statsSan Diego FC
47%Possession53%
2.3Expected goals (xG)0.5
15Shots7
5Shots on target2
12Shots inside box2
5Big chances2
6Corners4
2Saves3
11Fouls11
0Offsides3
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callOrlando City SC or draw 65%Orlando City SC won (42% called)
Total goals3.51
Both teams to score69%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 87%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Orlando City SCSan Diego FC
1.8
Goals+0.2
1.7
17.4
Shots+0.2
17.6
5.8
On target+0.8
6.7
4.3
Corners+2.2
6.4
Orlando City SCSan Diego FC
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.5
7.9
Shots+0.3
7.6
2.7
On target+0.1
2.8
2.0
Corners+1.0
3.0
Orlando City SCSan Diego FC
1.2
Goals
1.2
9.5
Shots+0.5
10.0
3.1
On target+0.8
3.9
2.3
Corners+1.1
3.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals87%
Orlando City SC to score84%
San Diego FC to score82%
Over 2.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Orlando City SC
62%
to score before half-time
San Diego FC
48%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%

Orlando City SCSan Diego FC
7.91st-half shots7.6
2.71st-half shots on target2.8
2.01st-half corners3.0

First-half chances

62%Chance of 7+ shots58%
40%Chance of 9+ shots36%
71%Chance of 2+ shots on target72%
29%Chance of 4+ shots on target31%
55%Chance of 2+ corners75%
17%Chance of 4+ corners35%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Orlando City SC7.99.5
Shots · San Diego FC7.610.0
Shots on target · Orlando City SC2.73.1
Shots on target · San Diego FC2.83.9
Corners · Orlando City SC2.02.3
Corners · San Diego FC3.03.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
San Diego FC in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

Orlando City SC beat San Diego FC 1–0. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Orlando City SC had 15 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 7 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

Orlando City SC 1–0 San Diego FC, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 42%, the draw 23% and San Diego FC 35%.

What were the stats in Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.5, Shots 15–7, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 5–2, Corners 6–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

No. It finished 1–0, so San Diego FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 69% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Orlando City SC or draw 65%, it finished Orlando City SC won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 69%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Orlando City SC form →San Diego FC form →