Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK
Orlando City SC 42Draw 24San Diego FC 35
The call
42%
Orlando City SC to win
3.4
Goals expected
13d 23hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Orlando City SC or draw65%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
BTTS66%
Orlando City SC win to nil17%
San Diego FC or draw59%
Under 3.5 goals56%
Correct score 1–110%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W L W D L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who will win Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

Bawler's model rates this match: Orlando City SC are favoured (42% win probability vs 35% for San Diego FC, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Orlando City SC 1-1 San Diego FC (10.2% probability). Expected total goals: 3.38.

How does Bawler predict Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Orlando City SC 42%, the draw 24% and San Diego FC 35%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

BTTS: Yes (66% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.77 and away expected goals 1.61.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.38. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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