Neom SC vs Al Fateh prediction — Saudi Pro League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UK
Neom SC 49Draw 25Al Fateh 26
The call
74%
Neom SC or draw
2.9
Goals expected
14d 04hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Neom SC to score82%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Al Fateh to score70%
Under 3.5 goals66%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L D W W W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5NEO 0 · D 1 · ALA 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

May 2026Al Fateh FC 2–2 Neom SC
Jan 2026Neom SC 0–1 Al Fateh FC
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Common questions

Who will win Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

Bawler's model rates this match: Neom SC are favoured (49% win probability vs 26% for Al Fateh, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Neom SC 1-1 Al Fateh (11.7% probability). Expected total goals: 2.94.

How does Bawler predict Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Neom SC 49%, the draw 25% and Al Fateh 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

BTTS: Yes (58% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.73 and away expected goals 1.21.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.94. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Neom SC form →Al Fateh form →