Neom SC beat Al Khaleej 3–0. Bawler's model had Neom SC in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Neom SC had 13 shots (5 on target) to Al Khaleej's 8 (0), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Neom SC beat Al Khaleej 3–0. Bawler's model had Neom SC in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Neom SC had 13 shots (5 on target) to Al Khaleej's 8 (0), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.2.
Neom SC 3–0 Al Khaleej, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Neom SC 46%, the draw 26% and Al Khaleej 28%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.2, Shots 13–8, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 9–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 4–2, Saves 0–2, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 3–0, so Al Khaleej failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Neom SC or draw 72%, it finished Neom SC won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.