How it finished
Neom SC beat Al Hilal 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Hilal at 72% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Neom SC 10%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Hilal had 20 shots (5 on target) to Neom SC's 11 (4), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.1, so Al Hilal created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Hilal vs Neom SC?
Neom SC beat Al Hilal 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Al Hilal at 72% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Neom SC 10%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Hilal had 20 shots (5 on target) to Neom SC's 11 (4), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.1, so Al Hilal created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Al Hilal vs Neom SC?
Al Hilal 0–2 Neom SC, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hilal 72%, the draw 18% and Neom SC 10%.
What were the stats in Al Hilal vs Neom SC?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.1, Shots 20–11, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 5–2, Corners 4–4, Saves 3–5, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 4–3, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Al Hilal vs Neom SC?
No. It finished 0–2, so Al Hilal failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Hilal vs Neom SC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal to win 72%, it finished Neom SC won (10% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No.