How it finished
Al Diriyah beat Al Fateh 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Diriyah in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Al Fateh had 13 shots (4 on target) to Al Diriyah's 13 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 61%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Al Diriyah beat Al Fateh 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Diriyah in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Al Fateh had 13 shots (4 on target) to Al Diriyah's 13 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.5.
What was the final score in Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Al Fateh 1–2 Al Diriyah, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fateh 35%, the draw 27% and Al Diriyah 38%.
What were the stats in Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.5, Shots 13–13, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Yes — both Al Fateh and Al Diriyah scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Diriyah or draw 65%, it finished Al Diriyah won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.